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Silver Price Watch

ABC's spot price is almost $7 above actual spot. $144 they're asking for a 1oz kangaroo. That's $26 above spot! It wasn't that long ago you couldn't sell your silver for $26.

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Even their kilo bars work out to be $17 over spot. In 2020 silver dipped down to $19 AUD spot price. Kilo bars were $600. It really goes to show how long silver was held down for, and just how absurd the price was for almost a decade since the last major bull run of 2011

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ABC's inconsistent spot price is rather telling. They go from 30 cents to almost $7 over actual spot. All other bullion dealers maintain a healthy spot price margin that doesn't deter their customers. There's been a shift in ABC's business model which started with them pricing their 1oz kangaroo coins at a much higher level than any other government minted coin on their website (I speculate this was an agreement made with Perth Mint, as ABC would've been the largest re-seller of kangaroos prior to the price hike). I can't shake the feeling they've been financially incentivised to deter investment in silver to boost available supply for other entities. It seems crazy to say this but nothing about what they're doing makes sense from a Bullion dealer perspective, but makes total sense for a global refiner who's been contracted to supply silver to the wholesale market. The question remains: Who is getting their supply? The LBMA, COMEX, SHANGHAI ... Or all of the above?

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It's starting to make more sense. 2021-22 was around the time they began listing the 1oz kangaroo coins at a much higher premium. Silver was being funnelled off to the COMEX and I'm pretty confident there's a connection between the two. This was also around the time when a selection of Perth Mint bars became unavailable. It would appear Perth Mint and ABC Bullion have been working to reduce investment load and send as much silver as possible to the COMEX without raising alarm bells. This just tells me the silver shortage is far more dire than expected.

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I monitor inventory at Bullion Now and ABC Bullion (Boycott ABC Bullion) to get a gauge of the retail market.

As you would all know by now, ABC is playing some spot price shenanigans. But Bullion Now is having their silver inventory drained at the same time. During the time when the huge lines outside ABC Bullion was making the news, Bullion Now had 80 silver products available on their website and that slipped down to 70. Recently, it recovered back to 80-82 products. Now they're at 48 and dropping...

These are the kind of signs we want to see to reveal a real physical shortage in the retail markets. This isn't just a supply bottleneck, this is the beginning of something rather magnificent in the silver space. We will start to see fractional silver become the new 1oz benchmark, and kilo bars priced beyond the reach for many newcomers to the scene.

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the bullion coin price is moving towards the collectable coin price.
currently 1kg silver price tracking 1oz Pt price, when Pt double the Au price again
then the track is truely broken
then the price of Ag 1kg would be 7k+
10oz bar would be 2,180
the new reality would set in, then we observed from then
 
the bullion coin price is moving towards the collectable coin price.
currently 1kg silver price tracking 1oz Pt price, when Pt double the Au price again
then the track is truely broken
then the price of Ag 1kg would be 7k+
10oz bar would be 2,180
the new reality would set in, then we observed from then

It's a cook up. I haven't been excited about silver for over a year until this moment. The hungry silver market has has a lot of mouths to feed and not enough silver spoons.
 
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