flower-shilling

Silver Price Watch

Its 2025, the year that has been talked up for hot action for two decades. June/July? Back down by december with a higher floor? Prices should go mental when the folks that brought you clotshot warpspeed decide they are ready to kill some poor people on the other side of the world while oddly maintaining industrial, technological and financial relations behind the scenes...anyhow. A few months should see a breif explosion.
 
They'll probably concede a few dollars over several months but the big win is going to be when the mines in Mexico start depleting and take 15% of global mine supply off the table. That will add another 100 Mozs to the already huge deficits, and then it's just a matter of time before the reserves dry up and the clock slowly ticks towards midnight.

I call for a triple digit Silveroos meet up when the time comes.
 
As always I try to think outside the box about how markets perceive commodities and where they play their part in our ever-evolving future, I also so feel that silver is on the cusp of a super cycle that no market can control its price.

I reckon, (in one of the most managed markets there is) for that to be true it will need to be driven by physical supply and demand fundamentals. For as long as there's a means and intention to control the market, the market will be controlled. Their power literally rests on their ability to meet the physical deficits with supply.,
 
I understand your emphasis on supply and demand. Silver is now a crucial component of renewable energy; it is considered a strategic metal. The significant shortages may surprise the markets, and a super cycle is on the horizon. Deficits will blow stackers' minds when pos gives

I just wish we knew how much silver they have available for their cause. Being analytical it bothers me there's an unknown X factor that prevents me from making a calculated determination.
 
I posted vault totals for the end of December 2024 and included a new source that lists and totals a multitude of ETFs holdings in the LBMA:
...

I've updated the numbers through the end of January:

 
I've updated the numbers through the end of January:


Amazing. You do excellent work reporting on this topic, and I, for one, greatly appreciate your efforts.
We're starting to see some cracks on the physical supply side and your reportings really show this.

Do you ever think about what a world facing a physical silver shortage would look like? With so many critical industries dependant on the commodity, what would the knock-on effects be when it becomes scarce or unavailable? I'd imagine it could get pretty chaotic; A commodity that directly or indirectly impacts every industry imaginable becomes unobtainable by at least one company within the manufacturing and supply chains.

In an ordinary world, I wouldn't consider confiscation a reality. But in a crisis setting, where the "solution" to the problem is having your citizens surrender their Silver, I could absolutely see that happening. I think China has been strategically promoting Gold and Silver to it's Citizens for this very reason. I think they know exactly what's coming and they've been positioning themselves to come out on top ever since they banned silver exports and made private ownership legal again.

What I find fascinating, is we stack silver for a variety of reasons; many of which are financially motivated ... but Silver could very well play a major role in bringing a super power to its knees. While we obsess over the price and seek validation for our investments, Silver could possess a power greater than anything our modern world has seen.
 
Amazing. You do excellent work reporting on this topic, and I, for one, greatly appreciate your efforts.

Thanks!

Do you ever think about what a world facing a physical silver shortage would look like? ...

I've been thinking about it for over a decade. It wasn't until recently that I started to think I would actually see it manifest in my lifetime though. It looks like we are at the beginning stages of seeing it play out.

I think we see some dislocations in the paper markets with large price movements and some large players getting blown up. Price will see some violent moves and eventually find an equilibrium where price dampens industrial demand. It's going to have to play out that way because there just isn't enough production to meet current demand and available stock for recycling is limited. Eventually, price will be the only pressure release left to the market.
 
Thanks!



I've been thinking about it for over a decade. It wasn't until recently that I started to think I would actually see it manifest in my lifetime though. It looks like we are at the beginning stages of seeing it play out.

I think we see some dislocations in the paper markets with large price movements and some large players getting blown up. Price will see some violent moves and eventually find an equilibrium where price dampens industrial demand. It's going to have to play out that way because there just isn't enough production to meet current demand and available stock for recycling is limited. Eventually, price will be the only pressure release left to the market.

It may be that we see the market evolve into something unrecognisable. There's indicators that what's left in these 'Transparent Silver Holdings' may be all there is. I think SLV and the COMEX have been fed the remainder of the US treasuries undisclosed reserves for the past two decades, and the treasury withdrew from their direct intervention (via government sales) in 2015. If we're seeing a 100 Moz evacuation from the LBMA, COMEX and SLV in just a month, I can only imagine how long we have left before they're holding no cards at the table at all.
 
Fatfingers taking out all the stoploses.
PMs are being played then let it go to win some more suckers to be fudged over.
 
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Buckle up, everyones realising adolph trump is a technocrat simp. He will turn your 'dry powder' into nothing but social credit, if his oracle overlords dont deem you worthy of their temple.
With his selected potato head comin in hot just in time every aussie should be burying their metals.
 
33.20 , anything under 35 is still a bargain given the carte blanche dereg of usurers its a mad scramble for metals.
 
I would personally prefer my super and a savings account service whereby i dont need to submit my biometrics to a company like oracle but that bird has fl...been shot down.
 
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