flower-shilling

Silver Price Watch

Consolidation periods suck. :rolleyes:
Tell me about it! I was expecting the previous 4 hour candle to make a move but it did nothing. One of my biggest weaknesses trading was knowing these times weren't ideal to enter the market and placing trades anyway. It's probably where I lost the most $$; lacking discipline.
 
I might be crazy...

 
$60 silver is relatively cheaper compared to uranium usage, ban Russian refined uranium
Will get the bull market reactive again, so silver can easily double to 120.
 
It could 10x $120, then 10x that again.
Once a hype starts anything is possible.
 
I might be crazy...


That's a very thorough analysis of the situation at hand. I really do wonder about undisclosed stockpiles though. Between 2020 and early 2021, SLV listed a 311 Moz acquisition of Silver. During the same period, the Comex and LBMA listed over 100 Moz's collectively to their holdings. This didn't come from the market and I can't help but be curious where close to 500 Moz's came from.

One thing I've noticed is during the 2008-2011 run, there was so much hype and excitement in the market; only to have Silver underperform for almost a decade after. This was really effective at destroying any enthusiasm for stackers who bought in at that time. Now, imagine if there's a 2 Billion Oz stockpile that the Comex, LBMA and SLV can tap into, topping up their vaults when needed. Letting the price run up, only to beat it down for years and years thereafter. This has proven to be a great psychological tool to curb physical investment.

Then there's the clear intention to reduce the world's population. You know what's funny about that? I think silver is the driving force behind the sustainability agenda! It's the most necessary resource that appears to be at the closest to levels of unsustainability. To think what many of us view as our security from the system may ironically be what destroys us all.

But damn, that's enough pessimism for the night. I like your analysis and I personally held the view that we'd likely see a shortage between the years of 2028-2032. Because you like to analyse the fundamentals like me, if you haven't already, you should look at when we're set to reach peak Copper, Lead and Zinc mining. Less production of those base metals will translate in less byproduct mining of silver. Then (if you haven't already) check out the major mines in Mexico that are set to deplete their reserves by 2028. From memory there were 4-5 of them. Mine supply for silver beyond 2028 is dire, and the world has no way of sustaining itself unless our consumption drops off significantly.
 
Dont trust such a thing, since human have not even explore half of the land and not even sea yet. What if the most metals are there in the other half.
 
There could possibly be a bit of a shortage while those silver deposits are being discovered & developed.
 
Dont trust such a thing, since human have not even explore half of the land and not even sea yet. What if the most metals are there in the other half.

I've researched sea-bed mining and it is extremely destructive. On top of the Environmental red tape that surrounds such activities, there's some serious challenges and costs surrounding such activities, especially if you consider the pressures you can encounter the deeper you go.
 
Recently China found oil in the depth of their dessert, it get exploited. Not the cheapest, but worthy. So metals mining also follow the vein of active volcanoes, the magma flow will bring out the gold or silver pillars. Never know the bible talk about the great abundance.
 
Recently China found oil in the depth of their dessert, it get exploited. Not the cheapest, but worthy. So metals mining also follow the vein of active volcanoes, the magma flow will bring out the gold or silver pillars. Never know the bible talk about the great abundance.
The biggest problem any resource, especially metals is they have a limited annual production capacity. You'd need to find massive deposits in a favourable location to justify an open pit mine (which will still only produce 40 Million Oz's a year), and you'd need 10 of them to really impact the markets in a meaningful way from mine supply.
 
There's untouched deposits here in aussie and other places sitting there but as yet still deemed unprofitable to mine...enough AG as byproduct so far
Most of them are tiny. The mine life would be less than a few years. I'll try dig up an infographic map I've seen showing all the known deposits.

Here it is. All the largest deposits already have a mine on them:

images - 2024-05-23T230107.223.jpeg

To give context to scale: 500 tonnes is 16 Million Oz's. Most smaller mines will produce 10 million Oz's a year. Larger mines will produce 40+ Million.
 
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