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U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note

Smithys Bullion - FINE GOLD AND SILVER
Kooka30

Kooka30

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I noticed that the US 10 year Treasury Note is back above 4.4% . Is the trend predicting a coming crash ?

The Delusional " Yellen " & now " Bessent " Treasury Sectary have been selling massive amounts of short term Debt in the delusional belief that interest rates will go down & they can refinance the US debt at lower rate at longer terms

:ROFLMAO: It's just not happening. A long term chart of the 10 Year Treasury shows a rise in rates from the early ( I believe it's from the mid 1940's but not shown on the chart ) 1960's up until September of 1981. Since then rates were in a long term decline, until July of 2020 at then 0.5% . Since then the rate has be climbing. Currently around 4.4%.

But the trend & analysis all point towards rates to be in a long term increasing trend. I have seen commentary that the 10 Year Treasury has a long term 40 year cycle & that from 2020 the 10 Year Treasury is now in a 40 year rising rate cycle. This particularly bad news for US Debt.

I have seen commentary that if the current trend does continue then the Interest Bill for the US Debt could go from $1.1 TRILLION US 2025-2026 year, to a staggering $2 TRILLION dollars in the US 2026- 2027 financial year 😲 😔 the potential to crash the US/World Debt markets. Chart is below.

fred.stlouisfed.org

Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis

View a 10-year yield estimated from the average yields of a variety of Treasury securities with different maturities derived from the Treasury yield curve.
fred.stlouisfed.org
 
no buyer for the longer term bonds, at lower rates anyway and well lesser than inflations.

buying USD bonds from China is better, since the rates is lower :p , but the convertibility to RMB is there, no one to BLOCK it, unlike buying from the US with higher rates, but exit is without door. but most importantly you acted never agaist Amerika
 
alor said:
no buyer for the longer term bonds, at lower rates anyway and well lesser than inflations.

buying USD bonds from China is better, since the rates is lower :p , but the convertibility to RMB is there, no one to BLOCK it, unlike buying from the US with higher rates, but exit is without door. but most importantly you acted never agaist Amerika
Click to expand...
I think that Bond markets are a dead-end. I've never had an interest in them & would never even consider US Bonds given the Debt Trap that the US has placed themselves into the jaws of.
 
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