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DEBT !

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It looks like the DEBT Contagion is really taking hold in Western Countries 😞

Germany is the latest to break it's Fiscally Responsible Rules of the " Maastricht Criteria ". Thus plunging into the DEBT spending pool 🤫

" This year, cleverly hidden from public view in so-called special funds, new debt of €140 billion is planned. Germany thus violates all Maastricht criteria with new borrowing of around 3.3 percent and a final total debt of over 65 percent ". o_O ( the Maastricht Criteria " was put in place to stop exactly what they are now doing )

The USA, England & France are already ahead of Germany in sinking down into the DEBT pool. The cover story for all this is " we are going to GROW our way out of Debt ". How do the plan to do this Growth ? They are going to Borrow & Spend even more Debt money that they don't have :unsure:

So it's a Deep Dive into the DEBT pool so as to " Spend even more Debt Money, to grow their way out of DEBT " :ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO:

🤡🌎
 

A Tectonic Shift is Underway in the Financial System​

by Phoenix Capital Research

Saturday, Sep 20, 2025 - 20:49

The Great Melt Up Is Here
The simple fact is that the developed world is completely saturated in debt. In the U.S. alone there is $3.4 trillion in municipal debt, $14 trillion in corporate debt, $20 trillion in household debt, and $37 trillion in Federal debt outstanding.
We are focusing on the U.S. here, but this is a global issue. Japan, the UK and the EU all sport Debt to GDP ratios ~100% or more. All told there is over $300 trillion in debt sloshing around the global financial system.
There are three ways to deal with debt:
  1. Pay it off via growth.
  2. Inflate is away.
History has been clear: central banks/ policymakers ALWAYS try to inflate it away first. When this fails, the default comes.

Globally, the bond market is beginning to crack. And central banks will soon be forced to print money and start buying debt (Quantitative Easing or QE … or risk a debt crisis.

The yield on the UK’s 10-year Government Bond is at levels not seen since 2008. A break above 4.75% opens the door to a yield spike to new highs, which with a debt to GDP ratio of 96% is a recipe for a debt crisis.

The U.S Dollar is now in VERY serious trouble.

The $USD is now literally on the edge of a cliff. If it breaks down here, it will take out a 15-year bull market and signal that a new secular bear market is underway for the $USD.

This would unleash an inflationary storm. There are already numerous signals that inflation is turning back up in the financial system. If the $USD collapses from here, it will create a truly disastrous situation.

The financial system is giving investors a major “tell” …but few are paying attention to it.
While Wall Street and the financial media obsess over tech and artificial intelligence stocks, hard assets are absolutely CRUSHING these stocks.
Nvidia (NVDA) is THE single most important AI play trading on the market. Based on the AI hype, you’d think this stock was THE top performing asset out there. But you’d be wrong. An investor who bought the gold miner ETF (GDX) at the start of the year has absolutely CRUSHED the performance of NVDA.
 
ozcopper said:

A Tectonic Shift is Underway in the Financial System​

by Phoenix Capital Research

Saturday, Sep 20, 2025 - 20:49

The Great Melt Up Is Here
The simple fact is that the developed world is completely saturated in debt. In the U.S. alone there is $3.4 trillion in municipal debt, $14 trillion in corporate debt, $20 trillion in household debt, and $37 trillion in Federal debt outstanding.
We are focusing on the U.S. here, but this is a global issue. Japan, the UK and the EU all sport Debt to GDP ratios ~100% or more. All told there is over $300 trillion in debt sloshing around the global financial system.
There are three ways to deal with debt:
  1. Pay it off via growth.
  2. Inflate is away.
History has been clear: central banks/ policymakers ALWAYS try to inflate it away first. When this fails, the default comes.

Globally, the bond market is beginning to crack. And central banks will soon be forced to print money and start buying debt (Quantitative Easing or QE … or risk a debt crisis.

The yield on the UK’s 10-year Government Bond is at levels not seen since 2008. A break above 4.75% opens the door to a yield spike to new highs, which with a debt to GDP ratio of 96% is a recipe for a debt crisis.

The U.S Dollar is now in VERY serious trouble.

The $USD is now literally on the edge of a cliff. If it breaks down here, it will take out a 15-year bull market and signal that a new secular bear market is underway for the $USD.

This would unleash an inflationary storm. There are already numerous signals that inflation is turning back up in the financial system. If the $USD collapses from here, it will create a truly disastrous situation.

The financial system is giving investors a major “tell” …but few are paying attention to it.
While Wall Street and the financial media obsess over tech and artificial intelligence stocks, hard assets are absolutely CRUSHING these stocks.
Nvidia (NVDA) is THE single most important AI play trading on the market. Based on the AI hype, you’d think this stock was THE top performing asset out there. But you’d be wrong. An investor who bought the gold miner ETF (GDX) at the start of the year has absolutely CRUSHED the performance of NVDA.
Click to expand...
It's very difficult to get ur mind around " Exponential ".

When anything gets into an exponential phase it happens like the famous quote about Bankruptcy from Hemingway.

How did u go Bankrupt ? " Gradually at 1s't an then all of a sudden ".

The USA & most other Western Countries are in the " Gradually at 1s't " Debt Phase ".

It's still unknown when the " Suddenly " phase is going to hit. But just look at the USA Debt curve. It's moving towards the " Exponential Phase ".

Look at the chart of M2 Money Growth. It's back into curving up & is now at an ATH. Money growth = Inflation. The FED has given up on inflation with the cover of " employment ". So inflation will run hot so as to somewhat inflate the DEBT away.

We are living in " Interesting Times ". ( that's actually an old Chinese curse )
 
I'm thinking that the DEBT explosives are being stuffed into any Financial opening that they can find to hide it.

The news is that Millions USA 401 K Retirement accounts will now be exposed to Bitcoin/Crypto, Stablecoin & even Private Equity.

To me that is DEBT desperation. They are looking for any place they can find to hide the DEBT Explosives.

$350 TRILLION in World Wide DEBT ( the USA has 1/3 of that Debt ) is a DEBT BOMB just waiting for some EVENT to light the Fuse.

This time IS NOT Different !

This will eventually end VERY BADLY !

😞
 
I have seen this Figure reported a number of times now, so I believe it to be accurate :-

$1 TRILLION 😲

" Margin debt, now greater than anything seen in the pre-GFC or dot.com implosions, has surpassed $1T, as AI-consuming stocks like NVDA, with a market cap of $4T, equal more than 13% of US GDP ". 🤫

$1 TRILLION in Margin DEBT is Insanity 🤡🌎. When the Markets hit a 30% - 50% Drawdown ( that many are now forecasting ) the Margin Calls on that Debt could drop the Markets even further to 80% - 90%.

The Roaring 1920's turn into the a CRASH of 89% by 1932. Is the Roaring 2020's going to be " this time it's different " or the CRASH 2.0 ? :unsure:
 
Hyperinflation 1920's Germany style :-

1758936875610.png

Just the USA Federal DEBT $37 TRILLION ( add in all the rest & it goes well over $100 TRILLION 🤫 )

When the FED Reserve is forced to Print $ to cover the Interest on ALL that DEBT, the chart of the USA $ will look like the German Weimar Chart above.

1758937106748.png

That is what's called a SHTF moment 😲 prepare accordingly ;)
 
STKR said:
That chart is fkn terrifying. How's the vertical line in 2020.
Click to expand...
The Gov & FED are trapped in a DEBT Doom Loop 😞

The DEBT is now feeding itself & is going into exponential expansion at some point 🤫

Just as what happened in 1923 Weimar Germany 😲

" Gradually at 1'st, then all of a Sudden " Paraphrased from Hemingway's quote about Bankruptcy :unsure:

This ends BADLY :mad:
 
DEBT :- :devilish:

The WORLD is soaked in DEBT & just needs the right spark to ignite the explosion 😞

World GDP is about $110 TRILLION. World DEBT is about $350 TRILLION ( estimated that USA DEBT is about 1/3 of that at $120 TRILLION




fredgraph.pngEverything that I've read/seen on DEBT ratio's says that once u pass 100% of DEBT to GDP u have entered the " Danger Zone ".

So with the WORLD above 235% Debt to GDP a Reckoning is Inevitable 😲

Public debt

Global Debt Remains Above 235% of World GDP

Decline in private lending offsets increase in public borrowing; notable differences persist across countries and income groups.
Vitor Gaspar, Carlos Eduardo Goncalves, Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro
September 17, 2025

1758941873040.png

This ends VERY BADLY :devilish: :mad:
 
I know a guy from Zimbabwe who lived there during hyperinflation. I was speaking to him about it the other day. He'd go to work (for 7 billion dollars a day) and the currency would devalue by another 50%. He said he had to buy a newspaper or magazine in the morning and try to resell it. He had entire wardrobes full of cash that was useless.

I showed him trillion dollar notes selling on eBay for $30-$40 and he said he'd call his mother to see if she kept them 😆 it's funny when your currency is worth more as a novelty and memento for a hyperinflation event.
 
STKR said:
I know a guy from Zimbabwe who lived there during hyperinflation. I was speaking to him about it the other day. He'd go to work (for 7 billion dollars a day) and the currency would devalue by another 50%. He said he had to buy a newspaper or magazine in the morning and try to resell it. He had entire wardrobes full of cash that was useless.

I showed him trillion dollar notes selling on eBay for $30-$40 and he said he'd call his mother to see if she kept them 😆 it's funny when your currency is worth more as a novelty and memento for a hyperinflation event.
Click to expand...
Shows how quickly the SHTF moment can occur.

When this happens in the WEST people will be stunned.

Because yesterday was, all good & today is, all good, doesn't mean that tomorrow will be, all good.

But us Stackers prepare as we can.

:cool:
 
DEBT !

1759271122703.png

It's TOTALLY out of control & will soon go " Exponential " 😲

As Gerald Celente said " When all else fails, they take u to WAR "

I reckon War it will be. I just hope they keep it to the Europe of Middle East & Nuclear Fallout is not involved 😞

🤡🌎

​

​
 
Gerald is hilarious. I check in with him once a blue moon for a chuckle. I want to hold that much charge when im his age!
 
Sandy Gooch said:
Gerald is hilarious. I check in with him once a blue moon for a chuckle. I want to hold that much charge when im his age!
Click to expand...
Gerald certainly is a " Live Wire " 😲

When he gets a rant going & the language starts, there is no stopping him :ROFLMAO:

:cool:
 
More confirmation that the USA is Fucked 🤡

The US is in violation of Ferguson’s limit 🤫
​

In an article published a few months ago titled “Ferguson’s Law: Debt Service, Military Spending, and the Fiscal Limits of Power”, historian Niall Ferguson expands on his argument regarding the fall of great powers triggered by fiscal excess. The main thesis of Ferguson’s Law is that as soon as a great power spends more on interest payments than on defense, this country’s status as a great power is doomed to decline. 😞

Link :- https://www.hoover.org/sites/defaul...GWorkingPaper-212502-Ferguson's Law-Final.pdf

A serious read but good info if u like to know the details :unsure:
 
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